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Box Office Odds - Movies To Watch
Entertainment Prop. Report By betbet and Ecobika betting
As of September 24, 2006, seven new shows made their debuts including Brothers and Sisters, Jericho, Kidnapped, Runaway, Shark, Six Degrees and Smith. Kidnapped looks intriguing but it appears to be a series geared for one season only. The show about a kidnapped rich kid can't go on indefinitely. Once the boy is retrieved or found dead it appears the show is over unless they kidnap someone else. Similarly Jericho about nuclear holocaust and Runaway about a family who is on the run after the father is falsely accused of first degree murder appear to be shows with little aspirations of being renewed next year.
Of the remaining shows, Shark appears to be the most suited for longevity. The show features James Wood as an attorney in the prosecutor's off following a stint as a defense attorney. It essentially is the Rockford Files meets Perry Mason. The premiere was interesting and it is being advertised heavily. We can see this show lasting quite a while. Six Degrees is about a group of 6 New Yorkers who go their own lives but have high dependence on each other is very reminiscent of shows like Lost, Alias and Felicity. The show is receiving accolades and given the success of its producers should last quite a while. The remaining two shows, Smith and Brothers and Sisters are a different story altogether. Smith looks interesting enough, starring Ray Liotta as a criminal mastermind who pulls off heists. The problem is that heist shows have fared poorly in the past. Last season two heist shows, Heist and Thief didn't last the year. We expect this one will make it until the end of the season but its life for next year and onwards is uncertain. Brothers and Sisters, about a family who get together and then toil into their depressing lives after one of the brothers died looks like a great show if the viewer wants to prove that his/her miserable existence isn't all that bad. The premiere was downright depressing and from reading reviews it appears it only gets worse. Shows like this in the past have tended to do poorly. Certainly depressing stories can do ok but they need to be combined with some sort of action like CSI or by comedy like Desperate Housewives.
betbet, has examined the shows and offered odds on whether these shows will be renewed for the 2007-2008 season. The odds are as follows. More odds will be offered on new shows as they are debuted.
Shark: YES 1/8 NO 5/1
Six Degrees: YES 1/6 NO 4/1
Smith: YES 2/5 NO 2/1
Brothers and Sisters YES 4/5 NO 1/1
In other news, Survivor Cook Islands had another eviction as Billy Garcia was evicted from the Hispanic tribe. The rocker had no ambition and the team wanted him gone, so they essentially threw the immunity challenge to get him off the island. Odds for the show haven't really changed although along tribal lines, the White team and Asian American team are now the 9/5 co-favorites with the Hispanic team 7/2 and the African American team 4/1. Females are now the 5/7 favorite to produce the winner since 2 males have been eliminated.
In Celebrity Duets, 3 contestants remain and all are pretty good although Alfonso Ribeiro has been the best. He is the 5/4 favorite. Lucy Lawless is 8/5 and Hal Sparks is 5/2 to win the competition.
Three movies are being widely released this week, The Guardian, Kevin Costner and Ashton Kutcher's drama about a man who joins the coast guard and is taken in by a rescue swimmer from his past and Open Season an animated film about a grizzly bear and a deer and School for Scoundrels another brainless back to school movie. The Guardian is receiving high accolades and should do well. Open Season, the animated cartoon about a bear who tries to survive the woods in days prior to open season for hunting, should prove to be popular among the kids. Ironically Ashton Kutcher is a voice in that movie as well playing the deer who tries to help the bear. School for Scoundrels could go either way.
betbet has created the following box office gross odds.
The Guardian: ,250,000
Open Season: ,372,000
School for Scoundrels: ,400,000
All movies have odds of 5/6 for both the over and under but the odds and gross are subject to change.
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